Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1217.180324 1382.020914 1564.820664 1783.239913 2037.989190 2326.760487 2680.341757
2025-09-28 930.596433 1138.493364 1390.090688 1719.641298 2143.802764 2676.643478 3405.022294
2025-10-05 823.513171 1058.615510 1360.306040 1781.168338 2361.609108 3146.626681 4310.612552
2025-10-12 736.812702 985.044503 1318.843139 1808.932435 2524.526988 3554.295036 5191.630601
2025-10-19 669.745565 925.552483 1283.508988 1832.768952 2675.796218 3957.720796 6129.035110
2025-10-26 615.342202 875.383877 1252.241779 1853.671615 2819.259506 4363.498180 7137.609028
2025-11-02 578.171287 844.891430 1244.249905 1905.599949 3013.886909 4874.736780 8416.196320
2025-11-09 537.508493 804.099057 1214.855864 1917.737605 3141.709022 5289.495778 9600.065455
2025-11-16 501.075502 765.761578 1184.400574 1922.753237 3255.293848 5692.840750 10839.800239
2025-11-23 472.072167 736.160290 1164.381187 1941.841599 3394.359474 6161.648084 12306.788699
2025-11-30 448.748643 713.431016 1152.990991 1973.727371 3559.765474 6705.109629 14050.787517
2025-12-07 414.061541 668.569300 1099.447860 1922.490835 3557.548581 6909.364698 15074.383402
2025-12-14 381.468605 625.634458 1047.123934 1871.079256 3554.945911 7127.093215 16221.178170
2025-12-21 350.333774 582.925474 991.745814 1808.383895 3522.307152 7278.260533 17253.682876
2025-12-28 340.208699 576.425994 1001.161839 1873.148544 3766.551565 8093.463759 20239.410902
2026-01-04 326.227072 561.681430 993.690604 1902.642255 3937.910644 8770.518061 23049.970301
2026-01-11 312.900970 546.990404 984.826160 1927.919169 4103.154971 9464.282564 26128.482185
2026-01-18 300.294348 532.598947 975.135976 1950.092681 4264.254233 10179.375759 29511.761497
2026-01-25 292.168078 526.078652 980.326348 2005.187289 4513.165971 11179.531785 34191.817683
2026-02-01 280.272469 511.279540 967.412711 2018.067179 4658.879027 11925.775646 38273.525793
2026-02-08 268.536526 495.917411 951.996380 2023.389755 4786.081917 12646.658950 42547.695382
2026-02-15 259.004119 484.275646 943.366327 2043.647520 4956.189427 13534.489335 47848.571127
2026-02-22 251.262687 475.708657 940.535295 2077.491060 5169.032726 14605.709636 54396.758687